By Report Hive http://www.reporthive.com
Pre-standards 5G network investments to account for $250 Million, says Report Hive
Report Hive’s latest report indicates that mobile operators will spend more than $250 Million on pre-standards 5G network rollouts by the end of 2017.
Despite the lack of sufficient LTE coverage in parts of the world, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop 5G, the next evolution in mobile networks. 5G is expected to provide a single network environment to deliver not only existing mobile broadband and IoT services, but also new innovations such as self-driving cars, cloud robotics, 3D holographic telepresence and remote surgery with haptic feedback.
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In fact, many mobile operators are betting on 5G to diversify their revenue streams, as conventional voice and data service ARPUs decline globally. For example, South Korea’s KT has established a dedicated business unit for holograms, which it envisions to be a key source of revenue for its future 5G network.
At present, the 3GPP and other SDOs (Standards Development Organizations) are engaged in defining the first phase of 5G specifications. However, pre-standards 5G network rollouts are already underway, most notably in the United States and South Korea, as mobile operators rush to be the first to offer 5G services. Report Hive estimates that by the end of 2017, pre-standards 5G network investments are expected to account for over $250 Million.
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Although 2020 has conventionally been regarded as the headline date for 5G commercialization, the very first standardized deployments of the technology are expected to be commercialized as early as 2019 with the 3GPP’s initial 5G specifications set to be implementation-ready by March 2018. Between 2019 and 2025, we expect the 5G network infrastructure market to aggressively grow a CAGR of nearly 70%, eventually accounting for $28 Billion in annual spending by the end of 2025. These infrastructure investments will be complemented by annual shipments of up to 520 Million 5G-capable devices.
The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2017 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, usage scenarios, vertical market applications, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, spectrum availability/allocation, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services.
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Table of Contents
1 Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Executive Summary
1.2 Topics Covered
1.3 Forecast Segmentation
1.4 Key Questions Answered
1.5 Key Findings
1.6 Methodology
1.7 Target Audience
1.8 Companies & Organizations Mentioned
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2 Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem.
2.1 What is 5G?
2.2 High-Level Architecture of 5G Networks
2.2.1 5G NR (New Radio) Access Network
2.2.2 NextGen (Next Generation) Core Network
2.3 5G Performance Requirements
2.3.1 Data Volume
2.3.2 Data Rate
2.3.3 Bandwidth
2.3.4 Spectral Efficiency
2.3.5 Response Time & Latency
2.3.6 Connection Density
2.3.7 Reliability
2.3.8 Mobility
2.3.9 Availability & Coverage
2.3.10 Energy Efficiency
2.4 5G Market Drivers
2.4.1 Why the Need for a 5G Standard?
2.4.2 Improving Spectrum Utilization
2.4.3 Advances in Key Enabling Technologies
2.4.4 Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services
2.4.5 Extreme Device Densities with the IoT (Internet of Things)
2.4.6 Moving Towards a Flatter Network Architecture
2.4.7 Role of Vertical Sectors & the 4th Industrial Revolution
2.5 Challenges & Inhibitors to 5G
2.5.1 Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders
2.5.2 Spectrum Regulation & Complexities
2.5.3 Massive MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technology Issues
2.5.4 Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure
2.5.5 Complex Performance Requirements
2.5.6 Energy Efficiency & Technology Scaling
3 Chapter 3: 5G Usage Scenarios, Applications & Vertical Markets
3.1 Usage Scenarios
3.1.1 eMBB (Enhanced Mobile Broadband)
3.1.2 URLCC (Ultra-Reliable and Low Latency Communications)
3.1.3 mMTC (Massive Machine-Type Communications)
3.2 Key Applications & Vertical Markets52
3.2.1 Consumer & Multi-Sector Applications
3.2.1.1 FWA (Fixed Wireless Access)
3.2.1.2 TV & Media Delivery
3.2.1.3 3D Imaging & Holograms
3.2.1.4 Virtual Presence
3.2.1.5 AR (Augmented Reality)
3.2.1.6 VR (Augmented Reality)
3.2.1.7 Real-Time Gaming
3.2.1.8 Tactile Internet
3.2.1.9 Mobile Cloud Services
3.2.1.10 5G Enabled Robotics
3.2.1.11 Connected Drones
3.2.1.12 Smart & Connected Homes
3.2.1.13 Connectivity for Smart Wearables
3.2.1.14 Conventional Mobile Broadband & Other Applications
3.2.2 Healthcare
3.2.2.1 Telemedicine
3.2.2.2 Bio-Connectivity: Enabling Telecare
3.2.2.3 Remote Surgery & Other Applications.
3.2.3 Automotive & Transportation
3.2.3.1 Connected Cars: Infotainment, Navigation & Other Services
3.2.3.2 C-V2X (Cellular Vehicle-to-Everything) Communications
3.2.3.3 Autonomous Driving
3.2.3.4 Intelligent Transportation
3.2.3.5 Connectivity for High-Speed Railway, Aerial & Maritime Environments.
3.2.4 Public Safety & Critical Communications
3.2.4.1 MCPTT (Mission-Critical Push-to-Talk)
3.2.4.2 Off-Network Secure Communications
3.2.4.3 Situational Awareness
3.2.4.4 Disaster Relief & Other Applications
3.2.5 Industrial Automation
3.2.5.1 5G Enabled Smart Factories
3.2.5.2 Machine Vision
3.2.5.3 Extending the Factory Floor To the Cloud
3.2.5.4 Real-Time Assistance & Other Applications
3.2.6 Other Vertical Sector Applications
3.2.6.1 Agriculture
3.2.6.2 Asset Management & LogisticsConstruction
3.2.6.4 Education
3.2.6.5 Energy, Utilities & Smart Grids..
3.2.6.6 Fitness & Sports
3.2.6.7 Retail, Advertising & Vending
3.2.6.8 Smart Cities & Other Sectors
4.1 Key Technologies & Concepts .
4.1.1 Flexible Air Interface Design
4.1.1.1 Frame Structure
4.1.1.2 Multiple Numerologies
4.1.1.3 Other Aspects
4.1.2 5G Waveform Candidates
4.1.2.1 CP-OFDM (OFDM with Cyclic Prefix)
4.1.2.2 CP-OFDM with WOLA (Weighted Overlap and Add)
4.1.2.3 FCP-OFDM (Flexible CP-OFDM)
4.1.2.4 F-OFDM (Filtered OFDM)
4.1.2.5 BF-OFDM (Block Filtered OFDM)
4.1.2.6 FBMC (Filter Bank Multi-Carrier)/FB-OFDM (Filter Bank OFDM)
4.1.2.7 UFMC (Universal Filtered Multi-Carrier)/UF-OFDM (Universal Filtered OFDM)
4.1.2.8 GFDM (Generalized Frequency Division Multiplexing)
4.1.2.9 SC-FDM (Single Carrier FDM)/DFT-S OFDM (Discrete Fourier Transform-Spread OFDM)
4.1.2.10 Zero-Tail SC-FDM/DFT-S OFDM
4.1.2.11 SC-FDE (Single-Carrier Frequency Domain Equalization)
4.1.2.12 Other Options
4.1.3 Modulation Schemes
4.1.3.1 Initial Baseline for 5G NR
4.1.3.2 Going Beyond 256-QAM: Higher Order Modulations
4.1.3.3 Other Advanced Modulation Schemes
4.1.4 Multiple Access Schemes
4.1.4.1 OFDMA (Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.2 SC-FDMA (Single-Carrier Frequency Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.3 SDMA (Spatial Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.4 Power Domain NOMA (Non-Orthogonal Multiple Access)
4.1.4.5 Code Domain Techniques
4.1.4.5.1 MUSA (Multi-User Shared Access)
4.1.4.5.2 RSMA (Resource Spread Multiple Access) .
4.1.4.5.3 LSSA (Low Code Rate and Signature Based Shared Access)
4.1.4.5.4 NOCA (Non-Orthogonal Coded Access)
4.1.4.5.5 NCMA (Non-Orthogonal Coded Multiple Access)
4.1.4.5.6 GOCA (Group Orthogonal Coded Access)
4.1.4.6 Hybrid-Domain & Interleaver-Based Techniques
4.1.4.6.1 SCMA (Spare Code Multiple Access)
4.1.4.6.2 PDMA (Pattern Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.6.3 IDMA (Interleaver Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.6.4 IGMA (Interleave-Grid Multiple Access)
4.1.4.6.5 RDMA (Repetition Division Multiple Access)
4.1.4.7 Other Methods
4.1.5 Channel Coding Schemes
4.1.5.1 LDPC (Low Density Parity Check) Coding
4.1.5.2 Polar Coding
4.1.6 Duplex Schemes
4.1.6.1 Dynamic TDD for Higher Frequencies
4.1.6.2 FDD and FDP (Flexible Duplexing on Paired Spectrum)
4.1.6.3 Full Duplex
4.1.7 Centimeter & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
4.1.8 Advanced Antenna Technologies.
4.1.8.1 Massive MIMO & MU-MIMO
4.1.8.2 Phased Array Antennas
4.1.8.3 Beamforming & Beam Tracking
4.1.9 D2D (Device-to-Device) Connectivity & Communication
4.1.10 Self-Backhauling & Mesh Networking
4.1.11 Spectrum Sharing & Aggregation
4.1.11.1 Complex Carrier Aggregation Schemes
4.1.11.2 LSA (Licensed Shared Access): Two-Tiered Sharing
4.1.11.3 SAS (Spectrum Access System): Three-Tiered Sharing
4.1.11.4 LAA (License Assisted Access): Licensed & Unlicensed Spectrum Aggregation
4.1.11.5 New Mechanisms for 60 GHz Unlicensed Spectrum Sharing
4.1.11.6 MulteFire
4.1.11.7 Cognitive Radio & Spectrum Sensing
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